Don’t Slag Off Mexico’s Potential (Or, Mexico Es Muy Grande Y Importante)

When a nation-state has a rather nasty running drug war (that is way more than just a metaphorical drug war), headlines tend to be dominated by all kinds of rough incidents, usually involving murder, beheadings, and other nightmare-inducing stuff.  But don't slag off Mexico.  It only looks terrible because people keep talking about how it's … Continue reading Don’t Slag Off Mexico’s Potential (Or, Mexico Es Muy Grande Y Importante)

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How To Make Your Nation Go Nuts

It’s closing time.  The bar’s about to shut up and you’ve got to get out.  But there’s that one guy, sitting over there in the corner, who’s been alone the entire night.  You can already tell he’s super drunk.  When they ask him to leave, he tells them to shove it up their asses.  A … Continue reading How To Make Your Nation Go Nuts

How To Break A Superpower in Seven Easy Steps

My last post posited on how debt was not going to be the thing that took down the American superpower.  But it did get me thinking - what could?  History's seen several superpowers come and go, starting with the Roman Empire in the ancient days to, most recently, the Soviet Union. How do superpowers fall? … Continue reading How To Break A Superpower in Seven Easy Steps

Debt is Not a Strategic Weapon (And Won’t Change the Pecking Order, Either)

(Much apologies for my absence on Monday - it's Eid Al Adha here, which throws everyone off, so I missed the update.  Without further ado, here we go!) Perhaps you have seen the Chinese moaning about democracy.  A great deal of people out there like to explain the U.S. debt problem as akin to a … Continue reading Debt is Not a Strategic Weapon (And Won’t Change the Pecking Order, Either)

Saddle Up – It’s Only Going to Get Worse in World Politics

Dominating American headlines is the government shutdown and the looming default.  The American public is not pleased; yet strong forces keep this otherwise pointless fight going.  Much of it concerns attitudes towards leadership, government, and the power of the state, and is well reflected in the predictions of generational theory.  Other parts, however, are about … Continue reading Saddle Up – It’s Only Going to Get Worse in World Politics

The Geopolitical Game of the Persian Gulf (Or, how all the king’s men are increasingly screwed)

Iran's back in the news - deal or no deal, they ask?  Much of it hinges on internal factors nobody knows except the Iranian government's higher ups.  You can flip a coin and be just as likely to be right, so we won't bother. Across the Gulf, the shiekhs and kings (and one sultan) watch … Continue reading The Geopolitical Game of the Persian Gulf (Or, how all the king’s men are increasingly screwed)

Trying to Guess the Next Twenty Years

It's fun to predict, even when we're wrong.  So let's predict away!  There's a very real chance of being wrong on specifics, so I'm not about to say "Russia will invade Mexico to secure an orb of power from time-travelers" or anything like that.  But it is possible to use geopolitical principles to guess major trends. … Continue reading Trying to Guess the Next Twenty Years