Bad news made worse: Saudi Arabia is in freefall

It's important to look forward as one year ends and another begins: to make resolutions, regret our mistakes, and to wonder where it could all go wrong in the next 12 months. There are fewer countries on Earth that have as much explosive potential in 2016 as Saudi Arabia. Yes, there are failed or nearly … Continue reading Bad news made worse: Saudi Arabia is in freefall

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2015 in geopolitical review

Geopolitics is about trends.  Individual events add up to patterns; patterns melt into inertia; inertia gains social gravity; inevitably, maps are redrawn, regimes fall, and through the litany of news reports we wonder how it all came about. So while it is beyond cliche to do a yearly review, for geopolitics, it's also extremely useful. … Continue reading 2015 in geopolitical review

How America Earned Trump

From Coney Island apartment tower lord to Republican frontrunner, Donald Trump has come a long way.  But nobody should assume the man has remade America: rather, his success is not in changing Americans but following the most profitable trends. His real estate empire was built upon a New York City ready to renew itself at … Continue reading How America Earned Trump

How to have a geopolitical conversation with a nativist

It's not such a big deal that Donald Trump has called to ban all Muslims from entering the United States: it's a big deal that there are people who support him. This anti-refugee nativist is found worldwide, but is, right now, especially powerful - and dangerous - in the West.  It manifests itself as Trump and … Continue reading How to have a geopolitical conversation with a nativist