Duterte Wants To Ditch America For China and Russia, But Can They Bite?

(This article has been edited to reflect that the Philippines has a single term presidency under its current constitution, meaning Duterte cannot serve, right now, beyond his elected six years). Betteridge's law of headlines states that any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered no.  And so it is with this one, … Continue reading Duterte Wants To Ditch America For China and Russia, But Can They Bite?

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As Syria’s Cease Fire Fails, It’s Time To Break Some Stereotypes

Even last week, as I went about analyzing the Russian and American motives behind the most recent go at peace in the Syria civil war, I was hesitant to triumph success.  I doubt many are shocked; maybe John Kerry is heartbroken, but certainly this wasn't beyond the realm of expectations. So while anybody paying attention … Continue reading As Syria’s Cease Fire Fails, It’s Time To Break Some Stereotypes

The long, the short, and the medium of the Syrian peace deal

We should all retain a hefty dose of skepticism whenever someone uses the words "Syria" and "peace" in a sentence.  Having becoming the world's geopolitically favored proxy battleground, Syria's civil war may not stop upon the say-so of Washington and Moscow. There is, of course, the intractable, and resolutely murderous, Islamic State, whose entire recruitment … Continue reading The long, the short, and the medium of the Syrian peace deal

Rodrigo Duterte And The Geopolitics of Insulting the American President

We've all had that boss, that teacher, that authority figure whom we insult as soon as their back is turned.  We mutter "Pig," beneath our breath as the traffic cop walks just out of earshot, or WhatsApp some obscenity to describe a boss or teacher who gives us a seemingly unreasonable deadline. Should we really … Continue reading Rodrigo Duterte And The Geopolitics of Insulting the American President

Turkey Goes Into Syria: Or, Understanding How To Influence People With Tanks

Nature abhors a vacuum; so too does geopolitics.  The nation-state has conquered the world, and it cannot abide an empty place on the map for long. The collapse of the Syrian state has left behind such a vacuum.  The question has never been if it will be filled; short of human extinction, that is inevitable. … Continue reading Turkey Goes Into Syria: Or, Understanding How To Influence People With Tanks