What in the hell is happening between America and Iran? It's been easy to get lost in the details. A complicated deal, the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Protocol of Action, just had one of its key members, the United States, pull out. This has been painted as both stupid and brave, by the usual suspects. America's … Continue reading What the hell is going on between America and Iran?
Why, you might ask? When there seems so little to gain, when allies are angry, when sanctions are surely not to be as strong as they were in the prelude to the Iran nuclear deal, would Trump do such a thing? The arguments against pulling from the deal were legion, and quite frankly convincing. Allies … Continue reading Trump’s Nuclear Deal Decision Showcases His Cultural Presidency
For the pro-Trump camp, it is a moment of celebration; for his enemies, consternation. There they go, South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korea Supreme Leader King Jong Un, crossing and re-crossing the Demilitarized Zone in a symbolic ending of an era. Just how much credit does Trump deserve for all this? And more … Continue reading Is Trump About To Get Peace In Korea?
It's been a while. As balances become clearer, life is better sorted, and all that jazz, I find myself pulled, like the United States in the Middle East, back to the fray. As it happens, I've found I can - and in some ways, must - do an update there and again on Geopolitics Made … Continue reading Please Don’t Worry About World War III
(Personal note: I'm thrilled to announce I'll be doing geopolitics full-time now, having accepted a position at Stratfor. That being said, I don't exactly know how Geopolitics Made Super, my baby blog since 2013, will fit into this new life. So this will be the last update until I sort that. That doesn't mean I'm … Continue reading The American Culture Wars Are Officially A Strategic Threat
The Global Coalition against Daesh announced Iraq's final offensive today: The Coalition welcomes the commencement of the Iraqi Security Forces' offensive to liberate Al Qaim district from Daesh Oct. 26. Al Qaim is Daesh’s final stronghold in Iraq and approximately 1,500 Daesh fighters are estimated to remain in the immediate vicinity. Al-Qa'im is a dusty … Continue reading Iraq Is About To Remove the “I” From “ISIS”
Rodrigo Duterte, who famously told President Obama to go to hell, is bringing Russian trucks and guns to his country. But the Americans aren't worried. According to Reuters: U.S. Ambassador Sung Kim played down any U.S. concerns about Duterte’s outreach to China and Russia and noted that the United States, a former colonial power, was … Continue reading The Philippines Muddies The Waters Of East Asia’s Geopolitics
From Reuters: The fighting was over but the alliance of Kurdish and Arab militias was clearing the stadium of mines and any remaining militants, said Rojda Felat, commander of the Raqqa campaign for the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). A formal declaration of victory in Raqqa will soon be made, once the city has been cleared … Continue reading Raqqa Has All But Fallen. Here’s Where ISIS Is Going Next
The 1961 Swedish documentary Mein Kampf ends with a lingering shot over Auschwitz. "It must never happen again -- never again," the narrator says grimly, finishing the film. Whether or not this is the origin of the phrase "never again" is unclear; what is clear is that by the 1960s, the Holocaust had produced a powerful human … Continue reading Why Myanmar Would Gamble On Genocide
How the mighty have fallen. Like the Axis of World War II, once the Islamic State stopped winning battles, it seems it could only lose them. Just what was the turning point in the battle against IS? Was it the defeat at Dabiq, the Syrian town central to its ideology as the site of the … Continue reading The Next ISIS Goal? An Iran-Saudi War