Despite Trump, America is still going to rival Russia

Helsinki was, by virtually every American political measure, a disaster.  Only the Trump base - the very people he need not convince - were unaffected.  Their commitment to Trump is a fascinating phenomenon in and of itself, as is Trump's willingness to preach to this particular choir even at the expense of actual governance. But … Continue reading Despite Trump, America is still going to rival Russia

Trying to Guess the Next Twenty Years

It's fun to predict, even when we're wrong.  So let's predict away!  There's a very real chance of being wrong on specifics, so I'm not about to say "Russia will invade Mexico to secure an orb of power from time-travelers" or anything like that.  But it is possible to use geopolitical principles to guess major trends. … Continue reading Trying to Guess the Next Twenty Years