The Muslim Brotherhood chooses a fight it can’t win (Or, how to lose an urban war)

So begins the cycle of violence in Egypt.  The Muslim Brotherhood has thrown down and called for rebellion against the army; some will heed that call.  But Egypt is no Syria.  Should there be something like a civil war, it will be far faster and decisive in Egypt than Syria.  Here’s why. Egypt’s population density … Continue reading The Muslim Brotherhood chooses a fight it can’t win (Or, how to lose an urban war)

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Egypt is an Ungovernable Mess (and will stay so for a long time)

Egypt’s coup caught some people off-guard. It shouldn’t have. Egypt’s becoming increasingly hard to rule. In the short and medium term, Egypt’s going to experience more and more chaos. Alas, because of Egypt’s deeply-rooted problems, no government – Brotherhood or military, secular or Islamist – is going to be able to govern Egypt successfully anytime … Continue reading Egypt is an Ungovernable Mess (and will stay so for a long time)

Getting a Grip on Syria

As the West edges closer to yet another Middle Eastern war, there’s been loads of talk about the who, the what, the why of the Syrian civil war.  “They'’ve been doing it thousands of years” is the often-cited refrain from laymen isolationists, stating the supposed interminable history of bloodshed in the region that goes back … Continue reading Getting a Grip on Syria