What victory looks like to the Americans — and to the Iranians

Step back from the day to day media coverage and tactical details of the Iran-U.S. confrontation. Ignore the tanker attackers and whether or not they were a false flag (they almost surely weren't), blow past the Rouhani statements and the Trump tweets, fret less about E3 press releases and Russian hot air about defending Iran. … Continue reading What victory looks like to the Americans — and to the Iranians

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What the hell is going on between America and Iran?

What in the hell is happening between America and Iran? It's been easy to get lost in the details. A complicated deal, the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Protocol of Action, just had one of its key members, the United States, pull out.  This has been painted as both stupid and brave, by the usual suspects.  America's … Continue reading What the hell is going on between America and Iran?

The Next ISIS Goal? An Iran-Saudi War

How the mighty have fallen. Like the Axis of World War II, once the Islamic State stopped winning battles, it seems it could only lose them. Just what was the turning point in the battle against IS?  Was it the defeat at Dabiq, the Syrian town central to its ideology as the site of the … Continue reading The Next ISIS Goal? An Iran-Saudi War

Reformers vs. Revolutionaries: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Gird Themselves for Change

On May 19, Iranians will have an election - as elections go in Iran, that is.  The candidates have been vetted and no one is about to murmur a word against the current Islamic Republic; speech and politics in Iran must fit into neat little boxes approved by the Supreme Leader.  Yet that is not … Continue reading Reformers vs. Revolutionaries: Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Gird Themselves for Change

Iran is becoming a better place (but don’t take that for granted)

While America's upcoming election fills many with worry, the Islamic Republic of Iran has a quiet yet meaningful election all its own.  The results shoved aside the hardliners who have for so long dominated Iran's many branches of the Islamic Republic, stuffing the all-important Assembly of Experts with relatively moderate forces poised to elect a … Continue reading Iran is becoming a better place (but don’t take that for granted)

Saudi Arabia vs. Iran: The Deeper Story

There are other shorter articles, and they do a fine job of covering the basics.  If that's all you're looking for, click on the link and consider yourself well-rewarded.  But if you desire more than tidbits, read on. Rapid review!  Saudi Arabia and Iran are quite angry at one another. More specifically, the elites of … Continue reading Saudi Arabia vs. Iran: The Deeper Story

The Case that Iran Isn’t Crazy (Or: No Revolution Lasts Long Unless It Plays By Geopolitics)

I've been having it out with plenty of folks lately regarding the Iranian nuclear deal.  Last week's speech by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to the American Congress summarized pretty well why there are doubts about the deal, which would leave Iran's nuclear program intact but short of weaponizing. Essentially, it boiled down to ideology … Continue reading The Case that Iran Isn’t Crazy (Or: No Revolution Lasts Long Unless It Plays By Geopolitics)