Don’t Slag Off Mexico’s Potential (Or, Mexico Es Muy Grande Y Importante)

When a nation-state has a rather nasty running drug war (that is way more than just a metaphorical drug war), headlines tend to be dominated by all kinds of rough incidents, usually involving murder, beheadings, and other nightmare-inducing stuff.  But don't slag off Mexico.  It only looks terrible because people keep talking about how it's … Continue reading Don’t Slag Off Mexico’s Potential (Or, Mexico Es Muy Grande Y Importante)

How To Break A Superpower in Seven Easy Steps

My last post posited on how debt was not going to be the thing that took down the American superpower.  But it did get me thinking - what could?  History's seen several superpowers come and go, starting with the Roman Empire in the ancient days to, most recently, the Soviet Union. How do superpowers fall? … Continue reading How To Break A Superpower in Seven Easy Steps

Saddle Up – It’s Only Going to Get Worse in World Politics

Dominating American headlines is the government shutdown and the looming default.  The American public is not pleased; yet strong forces keep this otherwise pointless fight going.  Much of it concerns attitudes towards leadership, government, and the power of the state, and is well reflected in the predictions of generational theory.  Other parts, however, are about … Continue reading Saddle Up – It’s Only Going to Get Worse in World Politics

Trying to Guess the Next Twenty Years

It's fun to predict, even when we're wrong.  So let's predict away!  There's a very real chance of being wrong on specifics, so I'm not about to say "Russia will invade Mexico to secure an orb of power from time-travelers" or anything like that.  But it is possible to use geopolitical principles to guess major trends. … Continue reading Trying to Guess the Next Twenty Years

Generational Theory Expressed In American Power (Or, How Baby Boomers Are Running The Country)

This website is relatively popular, as geopolitical websites go.  But I've certainly noticed that websites with more comments, more debate, and greater popularity often express strong anti-institutional bias; that is, they're on about how the government or corporations or whatever are utter shit and then tinge that with whatever political views they have.  People jump … Continue reading Generational Theory Expressed In American Power (Or, How Baby Boomers Are Running The Country)

Tribalism and the State (Spoiler: The State Always Wins)

During my years out in the desert town of Al Ain in the UAE, I came up against a number of students who were, to say the least, proudly ignorant.  It was fucking annoying as all hell to work with them.  Being thick was a badge of honor for some of them, and learning about … Continue reading Tribalism and the State (Spoiler: The State Always Wins)

What We Think We’ve Learned From Syria

It's been over a week.  That's the appropriate time to draw lessons, right?  Alright, let's make a quick run down of the situation. Without warning, Putin offered something approaching a good idea He did this to save Assad from an impending military strike (which despite Congressional resistance would probably have happened even without approval) and … Continue reading What We Think We’ve Learned From Syria

Even Bad Leaders Have a Tough Time Destroying Strong Nations

With the recent flurry over who's winning and who's losing in this whole Syrian disarmament thing, I found it a useful exercise to take a step back and focus on the bigger trends.  A lot of people are calling this a win for Putin and a loss for Obama, with some going so far as … Continue reading Even Bad Leaders Have a Tough Time Destroying Strong Nations

The Rogue State Depoliticized

(Preface: Did anybody, and I mean anybody, see this coming?  Right now, Syria's best left untouched.  Events are moving and I'm not in the room for any of the meetings.  Will Assad give up his chemical weapons and be allowed to conventionally slaughter the rest of his country?  Time is now going to have to tell. … Continue reading The Rogue State Depoliticized

Syria Is Not Important Enough To Start World War III

Good Lord.  In a way, I'm shocked that I even have to say this, but I'm seeing plenty of evidence some people are thinking the world's about to end. Yes, the Internet is full of terrible ideas, alternative realities, and conspiracy theories, but this one seems to be pretty popular every time I type in … Continue reading Syria Is Not Important Enough To Start World War III